文章摘要
王 立,封 颖.从亚太再平衡战略到印太战略:美国亚洲战略 的变化及对我国的影响[J].全球科技经济瞭望,2019,34(5):67~72
从亚太再平衡战略到印太战略:美国亚洲战略 的变化及对我国的影响
From Asia-Pacific Rebalancing Strategy to Indo-Pacific Strategy: US Asia Strategy Transformation and itsImpact on China
投稿时间:2019-04-19  修订日期:2019-04-19
DOI:10.3772/j.issn.1009-8623.2019.05.010
中文关键词: 美国印太战略;亚太再平衡战略;美国亚洲政策;中美印关系;科技外交
英文关键词: US Indo-pacific strategy; US Asia-pacific strategy; US Asia policy; Sino-India relation; S&T diplomacy
基金项目:科技部 2018年度委托性工作任务“我国科技情况国外舆情监测”。
作者单位
王 立  
封 颖  
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中文摘要:
      美国国防部推出《美国国防部印度-太平洋战略报告》,意味着美国印太战略的进一步深化。中国是印太战略指向的重头戏,报告里中国占据最多篇幅,有人形象地说印太战略的诉求可归结为两方面:留住美国人,提升印度人来挡住中国人。分析认为,“印度全面倒向美国”是小概率事件,但对中国是最坏结果。随着美国印太战略的深化,中印双边关系正在实质上演化为美中印关系,未来中印关系会处于更加重要的战略位置,而这一战略位置与我国对印度研究之薄弱极不相称。最后本文提出 4点应对策略。
英文摘要:
      US Department of Defence has released a report "Indo-Pacific Strategy Report: Preparedness, Patrnership and Promoting a Networked Region" on 1 June, 2019, which means the US Indo-Pacific Strategy has been deepened since the end of 2017. China is the key part in this report. This paper analyses US choose India as a tool for four reasons, saying India's booming economy, demographic dividend, Modi's administration and India’s rising international status. The conclusion of this paper is, the odds of "India becomes US's ally" is near zero. But it is the worst thing to China when it comes true. With the deepening of US Indo-Pacific Strategy, Sino-India bilateral relation is becoming US-Sino-India trilateral relations and Sino-India will become even more important in the near future. China's research and understanding on India will become even more vulnerable under a sharp contrast. This paper gives four corresponding strategies in the final part.
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