杜 丹,杨 耀,高白云,施筱勇.公共研发投入经济影响评估的国际实践与启示[J].全球科技经济瞭望,2024,(6):43~56 |
公共研发投入经济影响评估的国际实践与启示 |
International Practice and Inspiration of Economic Impact Assessment of Public R&D Investment |
投稿时间:2024-03-20 |
DOI:10.3772/j.issn.1009-8623.2024.06.006 |
中文关键词: 经济影响评估;评估逻辑框架;经济计量方法;评估指标;国际经验 |
英文关键词: economic impact assessment; assessment logical framework; econometric methods; evaluation indicators; international experience |
基金项目:项目来源:广东省省级科技计划项目“《广东省科技创新‘十四五’规划》实施中期评估研究”(2024A1010070008)。 |
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中文摘要: |
对公共研发投入的科技活动开展经济影响评估是发达国家政府普遍做法。选取了欧盟框架计
划(Framework Programmes,FP)、人类基因组计划(Human Genome Project,HGP)、加拿大自然科
学与工程理事会(Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada,NSERC)合作研发
计划和美国国家标准与技术研究院(National Institute of Standards and Technology,NIST)研发项目
的经济影响评估实践。具体分析了4 个评估实践的经济影响评估逻辑框架、反事实分析、经济计量方
法和选用指标。研究发现,完整的评估逻辑框架,科学的评估设计,成熟的经济计量模型和完备的指
标数据等是经济影响评估的重要因素。通过国际评估实践分析与总结为中国国家科技计划影响评估提
供经验借鉴。 |
英文摘要: |
It is a common practice for governments in developed countries to conduct economic impact
assessments on scientific and technological activities invested in public R&D. This paper selects the economic
impact assessment practices of the E.U. Framework Program, the Human Genome Project, the Natural Sciences and
Engineering Research Council of Canada’s Collaborative Research and Development Program, and the U.S. National
Institute of Standards and Technology’s R&D Programs. The economic impact assessment logical framework,
counterfactual analysis, econometric methods, and selected indicators of the four assessment practices are specifically
analyzed. It was found that a complete evaluation logic framework, scientific evaluation design, mature econometric
models, and comprehensive indicator data are important factors in economic impact assessment. Through the analysis
and summary of international assessment practices, this paper provides experience and reference for the impact
assessment of China’s science and technology plans. |
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