| 黄茗权,李小燕,吴延,武媚.面向东盟的战略跃迁：广西承接粤港澳大湾区新质生产力外溢路径研究[J].全球科技经济瞭望,2025,(11-12):65~76 |
| 面向东盟的战略跃迁：广西承接粤港澳大湾区新质生产力外溢路径研究 |
| ASEAN-Oriented Strategic Leapfrog: Research on Pathways for Guangxi to Undertake the Spillover of New Quality Productive Forces from the GBA |
| 投稿时间：2025-09-30 |
| DOI：10.3772/j.issn.1009-8623.2025.11-12.008 |
| 中文关键词: 东盟；粤港澳大湾区；新质生产力；外溢效应；产业梯度转移；枢纽经济 |
| 英文关键词: ASEAN; Guangdong–Hong Kong–Macao Greater Bay Area; new quality productive forces; spillover effects; industrial gradient transfer; hub economy |
| 基金项目:广西哲学社会科学研究课题“广西承接粤港澳大湾区新质生产力外溢对策研究”（24WT11）；广西科技界智库重点课题“广 西面向东盟的人工智能高质量发展的政策创新研究”（桂科协〔2025〕J-002，桂科协〔2025〕K-059）。 |
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| 中文摘要: |
| 在新质生产力重塑区域经济格局的背景下，以广西为对象，探讨其在承接粤港澳大湾区新质生
产力外溢过程中实现由“通道经济”向“枢纽经济”转型的内在机理与路径。研究构建涵盖外溢效应与
产业梯度的理论框架，结合 PEST、SWOT 模型及外部因素评价（Internal Factor Evaluation，IFE）和
内部因素评价（External Factor Evaluation，EFE）矩阵，对广西内外部环境进行系统分析。结果表明，
广西呈现地缘优势与内生短板并存、国家战略机遇与区域竞争压力交织的特征。应突破被动承接模式，
构建“存量变革、增量崛起、未来布局”协同推进的新质生产力发展战略，通过传统产业升级、新兴产业
精准承接与未来产业前瞻布局实现结构优化。制度改革深化与营商环境优化是战略实施的基础保障。
为边缘地区依托外溢效应培育内生动力、实现高质量发展提供了系统化路径。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| Against the backdrop of new quality productive forces reshaping the regional economic landscape,
this study takes Guangxi as the research object and examines the internal mechanism and realization path through
which it achieves the transformation from a corridor economy to a hub economy in undertaking the spillover
of new quality productive forces from the Guangdong–Hong Kong–Macao Greater Bay Area. A theoretical
framework incorporating spillover effects and industrial gradient transfer is constructed. The PEST and SWOT
models, together with the IFE (Internal Factor Evaluation Matrix) and EFE (External Factor Evaluation Matrix),
are employed to conduct a systematic assessment of Guangxi’s internal and external environment. The results
indicate that Guangxi is characterized by the coexistence of geographical advantages and endogenous constraints,
as well as the intertwining of national strategic opportunities and regional competitive pressures. This paper argues
that the passive undertaking model should be transcended and that a coordinated development strategy of new
quality productive forces—integrating stock transformation, incremental growth, and forward-looking planning—
should be established to achieve structural optimization through the upgrading of traditional industries, the targeted
undertaking of emerging industries, and the proactive layout of future industries. Deepening institutional reform
and optimizing the business environment constitute the fundamental safeguards for strategic implementation. The
study provides a systematic pathway for peripheral regions to leverage spillover effects, cultivate endogenous
momentum, and realize high-quality development |
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