| 张明喜.我国财政科技投入对经济贡献的实际测度[J].中国科技资源导刊,2010,(4):1~8 |
| 我国财政科技投入对经济贡献的实际测度 |
| Measurement of Fiscal Expenditure for Science & Technology’sContributions to Economic Growth |
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| DOI： |
| 中文关键词: 财政科技投入；经济增长；经济贡献；实际测度 |
| 英文关键词: fiscal expenditure for science & technology, economic growth, economic contributions, real measurement |
| 基金项目: |
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| 中文摘要: |
| 通过对我国财政科技投入对经济贡献的实际测度的研究，得出结论，在1978-2008 年我国财政科技投入对经济增长的短期弹性为0.212，长期弹性为0.658；财政科技投入增长率是经济增长率的Granger 原因；短期内GDP 对财政科技投入信息的一个标准差扰动的响应处于很低的水平，但长期的财政科技投入对GDP 的正向拉动影响时限更长，并且其对GDP 的方差贡献率较为突出。发挥财政科技投入的引导和带动作用，首先要加强财政科技投入的统筹协调；其次要落实财政科技经费的稳定增长机制；再次要优化财政科技投入结构，更有效地促进经济增长，保证我国经济又好又快发展，为建设创新型国家打下坚实的物质基础。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| The author carried on an empirical analysis of fiscal expenditure for science & technology and economic growth using 1978-2008 year data on the basis of former research. The research proved that in this time span China’s fiscal expenditure for science & technology to economic growth’s short-term elasticity is 0.212, the long-term elasticity is 0.658, and fiscal expenditure for science & technology is the Granger causality of GDP. Finally it described fiscal expenditure for science & technology and the economic growth interactive relationship using the pulse response function and the variance decomposition: GDP to a fiscal expenditure for science & technology information’s standard deviation perturbation’s response in the short-term is very low, but in the long run fiscal expenditure for science & technology will give positive influence to GDP, fiscal expenditure for science & technology is prominent to the actual GDP variance decomposition. The current fiscal expenditure for science and technology’s guidance, firstly should strengthen fiscal expenditure for science and technology overall plan coordinated, next carry out the stable growth mechanism of
fiscal expenditure for science and technology, optimize the structure of fiscal expenditure for science and technology, promoting economic growth effectively, guaranteed that our country economy is also good and has the quick development, builds the solid material base for the construction of innovation country. |
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