李跃.农业科技投入与农业经济发展关系的分析[J].中国科技资源导刊,2015,(1):35~41 |
农业科技投入与农业经济发展关系的分析 |
Analysis of Relationship between the Agricultural S&T Input and the Agricultural EconomyDevelopment |
投稿时间:2014-01-15 |
DOI: |
中文关键词: 农业科技投入;农业经济发展;向量误差修正模型 |
英文关键词: agricultural S&T input, agricultural economy development, vector error correction model |
基金项目: |
作者 | 单位 | 李跃 | 河海大学 公共管理学院,江苏南京 211100 |
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中文摘要: |
利用向量误差修正模型(VEC)研究了我国1986-2012 年农业科技投入和农业经济发展之间的长短期因果
关系。研究结果表明,农业科技投入和农业总产值之间存在双向因果关系,并且在长期维度保持一定稳定关系;在短
期维度上农业科技投入和农业产值之间在滞后二期上保持双向的短期因果关系。基于此结论提出增加农业科技投入和
完善农业科技创新体制的政策建议。 |
英文摘要: |
Vector error correction model (VEC) is applied to measure the relationship between 1986-2012 years
of Chinese investment of agricultural Research and Development and the development of agricultural economy
in this paper. The results suggest that there is a two-way causal relationship between agricultural science and
technology input and agricultural output. In addition, there are two-way short-term causal relationship between
agricultural science and technology input and agricultural output value in two period lag. We put forward
policy suggestions of increasing the investment of agricultural science and technology and perfecting the
agricultural science and technology innovation system at the end of this paper. |
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