文章摘要
石 慧 潘云涛 赵筱媛 苏 成.基于文献挖掘的颠覆性技术早期识别研究[J].中国科技资源导刊,2019,51(4):102~110
基于文献挖掘的颠覆性技术早期识别研究
Research on Early Identification of Disruptive Technology Based on LiteratureMining
  
DOI:
中文关键词: 颠覆性技术;早期识别;主题词突变;手工代码;四分图
英文关键词: disruptive technology, early identification, subject mutation, manual code, Four partite graph
基金项目:
作者单位
石 慧 潘云涛 赵筱媛 苏 成 (中国科学技术信息研究所,北京 100038) 
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中文摘要:
      利用论文和专利两种数据源进行了颠覆性技术的早期识别研究。首先提出论文主题词基于时序突变的3种情 况,利用专利手工代码Σ(Sigma)值判断技术创新性,根据主题词在突变情况种数以及所属创新性技术领域个数两个 维度的数值作四分图,根据主题词在四分图中所处位置判断主题词所代表技术是否潜在颠覆性技术。在此基础上,通 过电动汽车/ 混合动力汽车所用锂电池技术领域实证,证明本文所提出的方法是一种有效的颠覆性技术预见方法。
英文摘要:
      Based on two kinds of data sources of paper and patent, the early identification of disruptive technology is carried out. First, three cases based on time series mutation are proposed, and the technical innovation is judged by the value of the patent manual code sigma, and the number of the theme words in the mutation situation and the number of the number of the innovative techniques are made in four points. According to the location of the subject word in the four part diagram, we can judge whether the technology of the subject word represents the potential disruptive technology. Through the field of lithium battery technology used in electric vehicles/hybrid vehicles, it proves that the proposed method is an effective field of disruptive technology foreseeing methods.
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