| 项靖雅.美国智库关于对华技术出口管制效用的认知与启示[J].全球科技经济瞭望,2024,39(11-12):18~28 |
| 美国智库关于对华技术出口管制效用的认知与启示 |
| Analysis of U.S. Think Tanks’ Perceptions of Technology Export Controls Towards China |
| 投稿时间：2024-09-26 |
| DOI： |
| 中文关键词: 技术出口管制；中美关系；战略竞争 |
| 英文关键词: technological export controls; U.S.-China relations; strategic competition |
| 基金项目: |
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| 摘要点击次数: 22 |
| 全文下载次数: 23 |
| 中文摘要: |
| 在竞争思维主导下，美国政府频繁对中国实施经济制裁，技术出口管制成为其对华产业竞争和
技术遏制的重要手段。技术出口管制成为美国用于对华产业围堵和科技遏制的重要手段。通过分析关于
“技术出口管制”的智库研究报告和评述性文章，追溯美国政府、智库在技术出口管制相关的决策网络
中的互动关系，美国智库已就对华实施技术出口管制的必要性形成共识，但对技术出口管制能否达成战
略目标、负外部性是否可控、收益是否大于风险的态度总体不佳。美国对华技术出口管制的不同利益攸
关方之间存在观点利益分歧，甚至出现一定的对抗和张力。中国应利用经贸相互依赖关系、美国盟友及
其合作伙伴对华竞合需求、利益存在的差异，积极拓展战略转圜空间。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| Driven by competitive thinking, the U.S. government has frequently imposed economic sanctions
against China, with technological export controls emerging as a crucial tool for industrial competition and
technological containment. By analyzing think tank research reports on “technological export controls” and
the interactive relations in the decision-making network, this paper finds a relatively unified consensus on the
necessity of implementing technological export controls against China. Yet, there is a general skepticism regarding
whether such controls can achieve strategic objectives, whether the negative externalities could be under control,
and whether the benefits outweigh the risks. There is a clear divergence of views and interests between different
stakeholders in U.S. technology export controls on China, and even a certain degree of tension. China should
take advantage of the economic interdependence as well as the different co-opetition demands of U.S. allies and
partners towards China to actively gain competitive edge. |
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